Not good! The Pacers chance of winning the championship has increased by 12%, and history suggests that the Thunder s probability of winning the championship is less than 60%.

The probability of the Pacers winning the championship increased by 12%!

The G1 of the Thunder and Pacers' Finals has come to an end. Both sides have played their own characteristics throughout the game. The Thunder played their advantage in high-pressure defense and kept creating Pacers' mistakes. They made 18 mistakes in the first half alone and 24 mistakes in the whole game! This is also the reason why the Thunder can lead by 47 minutes and 59.7 seconds in the game! The Pacers continued to maintain their tenacity of "not tolerate Xiaoqiang". Although they made consecutive mistakes, they did not give their opponents too much chance to make mistakes and scored. They only gave the Thunder 11 points in 24 mistakes. In the face of the Thunder's defense, they always kept the three-point shooting percentage above 40%. At the last moment, Halliburton seized the opportunity to complete the quasi-killing kill again. I believe no one is optimistic that the Pacers can defeat the Thunder away in G1, and leading the Pacers 1-0 away is considered a big upset. After the G1 game, according to data media Polymarket Hoops, the Thunder has dropped but it is still as high as 73%, and the Pacers are 27%. Before the finals begin, the Thunder's chances of winning the championship are as high as 85%, and the Pacers are 15%. In other words, after 1-0 in the series, the Pacers' chance of winning the championship increased by 12%!

is not good! History suggests that the probability of the Thunder winning the championship is less than 60%!

For the Pacers, the good news is more than that. The 1-0 lead in the away game in the series gave them a great psychological advantage. Even if they lose G2, they will still return to the home court with the advantage, because the Thunder will lose one game first and no longer have the home advantage! For the Thunder, after losing G1, there is another data that is extremely unfavorable for them to win the championship! According to statistics on the NBA's official website, there have been 18 teams in NBA's 79-year history that have lost the G1 in the Finals!

1st time: G1 of the 1950 Finals, Syracuse National Team (predecessor of the 76ers) lost to the Minneapolis Lakers (predecessor of the Los Angeles Lakers), and in the end, Syracuse National Team lost 2-4.

2nd time: In the 1953 Finals G1, the Minneapolis Lakers lost to the Knicks 88-96 at home, but they won the championship with four consecutive games!

The third time: G1 of the 1957 Finals, the Celtics lost to the St. Louis Hawks (the predecessor of the Atlanta Hawks), and the finals reached a tiebreak, and the Celtics won the championship 4-3!

The fourth time: G1 of the 1958 Finals, the Celtics lost to the St. Louis Hawks (the predecessor of the Atlanta Hawks) 102-104 at home. This time, the Celtics failed to complete the attack and eventually lost to their opponents 2-4 to lose the championship.

5th time: In the 1966 Finals G1, the Celtics lost to the Lakers 129-133 at home. The Celtics then scored three consecutive games to win the championship point, but the Lakers were not willing to be outdone and then won two consecutive games, chasing 3-3. In the tiebreak battle, the Celtics narrowly won the championship 95-93.

6th time: G1 of the 1972 Finals, the Lakers lost to the Knicks 92-114 at home. But they then dominated the series and completed the gentleman sweep 4-1.

7th time: In the 1974 Finals G1, the Bucks lost to the Celtics 83-98 at home. In the end, the Bucks failed 3-4.

8th time: G1 of the 1975 Finals, Bullets (the predecessor of the Wizards) lost to the Warriors 95-101 at home. Then he lost 3 consecutive games and lost the championship trophy 0-4!

9th time: G1 in the 1982 Finals, the 76ers lost to the Lakers 117-124 at home. In the end, the 76ers were defeated by the Lakers 2-4 and lost the finals.

10th time: In the 1984 Finals G1, the Celtics lost to the Lakers 109-115 at home. The two sides fought seven times, and the Celtics finally won the cup!

11th time: In the 1988 Finals G1, the Lakers lost to the Pistons 93-105 at home. The two teams fought all the way to tiebreak, and the Lakers narrowly won 108-105 in the tiebreak battle, winning the championship 4-3 with a big score.

12th time: In the 1991 Finals G1, the Bulls lost to the Lakers 91-93 at home. The Bulls then won four consecutive games and easily won the championship 4-1.

13th time: In the 1993 Finals G1, the Suns lost to the Bulls 92-100 at home. The Suns lost their second home court and fell behind 0-2 with a big score. Although they launched a counterattack later, they were finally defeated by the Bulls 2-4.

14th time: G1 of the 1995 Finals, the Magic lost to the Rockets 118-120 at home. The team then lost three more games in a row and was swept by the Rockets.

The 15th time: In the 2001 Finals G1, the Lakers lost to the 76ers 101-107 at home. However, this loss did not stop them from defending their title. The team then won four consecutive games, winning the championship 4-1, completing two consecutive championships.

16th time: In the 2004 Finals G1, the Lakers lost to the Pistons 75-81 at home. After that, the Lakers were not able to turn the tide and were eventually swept by the gentleman 1-4.

17th time: In the 2013 Finals G1, the Heat lost to the Spurs 88-92 at home. This was a heart-wrenching series, with the two teams playing to Game 7, and the Heat won 95-88 in the tiebreak.

18th time: In the 2022 Finals G1, the Warriors lost to the Celtics 108-120 at home. The Warriors started low and ended high in this round of series. After falling behind 0-1, they were still behind 1-2, but in the end they won three consecutive games and won the championship 4-2..

Judging from the data of 18 home G1 losses in the finals in NBA history, 10 of them won the championship and 8 teams lost. In other words, the probability of winning the championship in the finals was only 55.6%, less than 60%! Judging from the content shown on both sides in G1, the Pacers are really in a state of upset. Although the team made many mistakes, they did not give the Thunder a chance to score easily. On the other hand, the Thunder's top outside defense ability did not limit the Pacers' three-pointers at all. The Pacers made a 46% three-point shooting percentage in the whole game. From this point of view, it was a bit bad for the Thunder. It did not play out its own characteristics, nor did it limit the opponent's three-pointers. It also allowed the Pacers to complete the decisive moment again! The

Finals G2 will start tomorrow morning, and ESPN also made a prediction about the winning rate of this game. The Thunder's home winning rate reached 60.7%, and the Pacers' winning rate was only 39.3%! So do you think the Pacers have a chance to lead 2-0 away? What adjustments do the Thunder need to make at home to avoid losing again? If you have anything to say, please leave a message in the comment area to discuss!