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Who will be the king of the regular season? ESPN predicts that the Warriors will be second in the league and the Rockets will beat the Lakers.
11:00am, 11 October 2025【Basketball】
In less than two weeks, the new NBA season will resume. In this summer's offseason, although there were not many transactions that shocked the league. However, each team still made targeted reinforcements and lineup changes.
So how will each team perform in the regular season in the new season? Who can dominate the league and win the regular season championship? ESPN expert Pelton gave his own winning rate prediction, let us pay attention to it together!
西部:雷霆领跑,勇士紧随
首先我们来看西部方面,战绩垫底的球队依然是爵士,预测胜场在20.2个。 The Jazz's goal in recent years is very clear, which is to get a first-round pick or even hit the top pick through continuous bad performance. Therefore, the entire team has no intention of playing at all. If necessary, they may also put Kessler and Markkanen directly on the shelf. Only by accumulating enough picks can the team make changes to the status quo.
接下来排名14—11的队伍分别为鹈鹕(32.6胜场)、太阳(34.7胜场)、开拓者(35.8胜场)、马刺(40.1胜场)。 The Spurs seem to be quite competitive on paper. But in Pelton's view, all this is not enough. The competition in the Western Conference is already very fierce, and the Spurs, apart from Wenban and Fox, do not have a third player who is stable enough. Although they have second overall pick Dylan Harper, the team obviously cannot expect him to perform at a star level in his rookie season.
排在10—6名的队伍为:国王(43.5胜场)、独行侠(43.6胜场)、森林狼(43.7胜场)、灰熊(44.6胜场)、湖人(45.8胜场)。 After successfully getting the No. 1 pick and assembling a lineup of three No. 1 picks, the Mavericks seem to have a very bright future. But in Pelton’s view, it will obviously take a long time to see such a bright future. His point of view: The injuries of Irving and Davis will most likely affect their overall performance in the future. The quality of Flagg, the top pick, needs to be continuously confirmed in games.
The Timberwolves, who have reached the conference finals for two consecutive years, are also not favored by Pelton. The most critical factor is that with Walker's departure, the team no longer has a stable scoring point from the outside.
The Lakers are predicted to be ranked sixth in the Western Conference this time. The biggest problem for the team is that except for James, Doncic, and Reeves, the overall level of other players is too low. The starting five cannot match the strength of the league's strong teams, let alone the bench lineup that looks dilapidated.
排名前五的队伍为:火箭(46.9胜场)、快船(49.7胜场)、掘金(52.2胜场)、勇士(56.1胜场)、雷霆(59.2胜场)。 The addition of Durant has significantly improved the Rockets' offensive strength. Coupled with talented young people like Shen Jing and Thompson, the Rockets' new season is naturally full of expectations. Therefore, even if VanVleet is injured, Pelton is still very optimistic about the Rockets' record.
排在第四的快船,如果想要拿到一个好成绩,需要有一个决定性的前置条件,那就是伦纳德需要保证足够的健康程度。 He needs to play in at least 66 regular season games. In this way, coupled with Harden and Zubac, whose abilities are constantly improving, and a strong bench lineup, the complete Clippers are still worth looking forward to.
The third-place Nuggets made major adjustments to their lineup this summer, acquiring healthier striker Johnson and signing back Brown, who has a very good chemistry with Jokic. In addition, there are two strong players on the bench, Hardaway and Varan. As long as the new players can get used to each other well, the Nuggets' lower limit won't be too bad.
The Warriors ranked second will probably surprise many people. After all, throughout the offseason, the Warriors did almost nothing in terms of signings. After signing Horford, they were dubbed the "nursing home" by everyone. But Pelton has a completely different view on this. He said: The existence of Curry and Butler ensures the overall combat effectiveness of this team. Especially after Butler joined, the Warriors won as high as 76.7% when he played.
The winning team is, not surprisingly, the defending champion Thunder. The team has maintained its championship-winning lineup, and these players are still very young, so they can still be invincible in the regular season in the new season.
东部:骑士一马当先,强弱差距分明
跟西部整体争夺激烈相比,东部新赛季依然会是强弱分明的情况。 The first is that in terms of completely bad teams, the Wizards (14.2), Nets (17.6), and Hornets (28.5) will compete for the No. 1 pick. The three teams have absolutely no fighting capacity in terms of their core players and overall lineup.
The next teams are: Bulls (38.0), 76ers (38.4), Heat (40.3), Raptors (40.7), Pistons (42.6). The 76ers can be said to be infinitely undervalued. In Pelton's prediction, the team will not even win 40 games. The reason he gave is: There is no way to guarantee the playing time of the two core players Embiid and George. The two have been in a cycle of injury and rehabilitation for a long time, and the team has lost the strong player Yabusele, so the 76ers are completely untrustworthy.
The 7-4 teams are: Eagles (44.3), Bucks (44.5), Celtics (45.6), and Pacers (45.9). The Bucks acquired Turner during the offseason, but the team's lineup is completely top-heavy. Except for the starting Antetokounmpo and Turner, the Bucks' second lineup is really terrible.. The Celtics and Pacers have basically the same problem, that is, their stars will basically be reimbursed for the season. In the absence of Tatum and Burton, the mission of the two teams has changed from competing for the championship to maintaining a playoff spot.
The top three teams in the Eastern Conference predicted are: Knicks (47.2), Magic (49.9), Cavaliers (50.1). In the new Magic, Bane will become an important factor. If he can completely open up on the outside, the Magic will have the ability to compete for first place in the Eastern Conference. The Cavaliers are still favored to finish first in the Eastern Conference, but the number of wins is still far behind last season. I believe that after two years of losing in the playoffs, the Cavaliers will find ways to focus on rotation during the regular season to allow their core players to get enough rest.
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