8/23 [Today s Football Recommendation] Mallorca, Arsenal, Win, Draw, Loss, Score Ideas Analysis.

Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim

Saturday 018 La Liga: Mallorca VS Vigo Celta

As one of the focus teams in the opening stage of this season's La Liga, the shadow of a home defeat of Barcelona 0-3 in the first round has not yet dissipated. The current ranking at the bottom of the league highlights the imbalance between the offense and defense. The team has only won 4 games in the past 10 official games, with a winning rate of 40%. The high ball possession rate in the first home game is in a strong contrast with the actual offensive conversion rate - the ball possession is only 29%, but it only creates 4 shot opportunities, exposing the stubborn problem of inefficient positional combat. In terms of lineup, many core players were absent due to red cards or were injured, especially the structural loopholes in the defense line were obvious. Two red cards in the last round directly led to the collapse of the defensive system and were scored 3 goals by the opponent. This shortage of personnel not only weakens the interception capabilities in the middle, but also increases the space risk during counterattacks. Interestingly, Mallorca has lost 3 of its last five home games, but it is doubtful whether the current incomplete defense line can reproduce this resilience. The offensive end is also worrying. The forward line has ranked last in the league in recent average scores. Does the performance of zero shots and positive shots in the first round mean that the offensive system needs to be completely reconstructed? Facing Celta, which also had an unfavorable start, whether Mallorca's home court advantage can be transformed into a substantial breakthrough has become the core suspense.

Celta's start was also bleak, with a 0-2 defeat to Getafe at home and then falling to the edge of the relegation zone, revealing the double dilemma of both offense and defense. The team's last 10 games have mixed results, but their away performance has continued to be sluggish - they have only won 1 away game and have conceded 1.5 goals per game. The lack of injuries to the key central defender has led to a significant decline in the height of the defense line and the ability to confront. It is worth noting that although Celta's possession rate in the first round was as high as 69% and completed 11 shots, his efficiency of only 3 shots and zero goals revealed that he lacked the ability to finish the front line. Historical confrontation data shows his psychological advantages against Mallorca. He has remained unbeaten in the past three away matches, but can the current core players on the offensive end continue this record? What is more interesting is the team's tactical contradiction: it is good at the traditional way of crossing at the bottom of the right side, and only created three key crosses in the first round but made frequent mistakes. Facing Mallorca, who is also weak in defense, will Celta turn its adjustment strategy toward penetration in the middle? Whether its 69% away ball possession rate can truly be transformed into a goal opportunity will become the biggest highlight of this game.

The two teams have won, draw, lost, and lost, and lost in the last three matches. Mallorca has 1 draw and 2 losses. Last season, Celta has a clear advantage in both home and away games. The index gives the strength of the home to acquire 0 goals, which is also reasonable. After all, Celta's away game is obvious, but in recent matches, Mallorca have suppressed, both teams have no obvious advantages in their state and home and away performance. Celta has a clear advantage in recent matches, and the index's strength retreated from 0.25 to 0, and the institutions' confidence in Celta has weakened. Overall, Mallorca's probability of unbeaten is higher, and its lineup is also above Mallorca. In addition, Celta's tendency to score away games is obvious but its state is fluctuating. Overall, Mallorca's probability of unbeaten is higher.

Views of this game: Let the win

Details: 1-0/1-1

Score picture: 1/2 goals

Saturday 020 Premier League: Arsenal vs. Leeds United

Arsenal showed strong momentum at the start of the Premier League this season, defeating Manchester United 1-0 away from home, continuing the dominance of the home victory rate of up to 79% last season. Data from the 2024-2025 season show that Arsenal averaged 2.53 goals at home and conceded only 0.84 goals on the defensive end, ranking among the top in the league in offense and defense efficiency. However, potential doubts have surfaced: despite the glorious historical honors, the winning rate of only 60% in the last 10 games, and the winning rate dropped sharply to 42% against mid- and downstream teams last season, revealing the hidden danger of weakness or weakness. The injury problem has heightened concerns - the absence of key forwards and midfielders has weakened the depth of offense, and only 1 win in the last three warm-up games, exposing the offensive end to rely on a single scoring point. What is even more thought-provoking is that Arsenal has won several small home games with one goal several times recently. Whether it can break through the dense defense when facing the newly promoted team is a mystery. Leeds United's tenacious counterattack in historical confrontations has caused an accident.

As a newly promoted team, Leeds United defeated Everton 1-0 at home after returning to the Premier League, continuing the resilience of the away unbeaten rate of 48% during the Championship. In the English Championship last season, Leeds United averaged 1.57 goals away games, with a net defensive efficiency of +9, and a top three in the league in set pieces. However, the test in the Premier League is severe: the away victory rate of the 2022-2023 season is only 11%, and the average goal conceded as high as 2.16 goals per game. The insufficient lineup thickness after the upgrade may lead to a fatal injury. The recent warm-up matches have revealed their offense weakness - they have only 2.8 shots per game, and the number one scorer is absent, resulting in only 2 goals in the last 4 games. Historical data shows that Leeds United loses at 74% against the top six teams, and their away ball possession rate is often below 40%. It is doubtful whether they can withstand Arsenal's high-pressure pressing in this round. Under the halo of the newly promoted team, tactical adaptability has become the biggest suspense. The strength of the two teams is here. How many home teams win, whether they scored in the first half, is this the first question that everyone thinks about today. But we watched the game these days, like Paris Saint-Germain won 1-0 tonight and did not score in the first half. In the last day of the game, Crystal Palace gave 2 goals, but it still won 1-0, both of which were goals in the second half. So the stronger the team doesn't want to score too many goals, and it can't be said that they don't want to score too many goals, but they are trying to cooperate with something. In terms of the data of this game, the institutions generally gave support to Arsenal in 7 levels, which seemed to be very high. Combined with Arsenal's average performance in the first game, it formed resistance to the home team. Leeds United's first performance was eye-catching, and with 14 unbeaten games, it was still very resilience. Therefore, the market image is higher tonight, and it is not that easy to win the newly promoted team easily, so it is expected that Leeds United can only have one small book in this game.

Views of this game: Pair and tie

Details: 2-1/1-1

Scoring picture: 2/3 goals