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Analysis of the five major league matches on Friday, daily unpopular warning!
7:58pm, 15 August 2025【Football】
Ren vs Marseille
Ren's recent situation: Rennes scored consecutive goals in the last 5 games, and averaged 1.6 goals per game. The team's home winning rate against Marseille in the past five years has reached 66%. The team has gained and conceded goals in the last 10 main games. In the last 10 home games this season, the probability of winning the home game is 100% under the lead. The team drew Genoa 2-2 in the friendly match. In the offseason, the team won 1 win, 4 draw and 1 loss, with a winning rate of only 16.7%. However, considering that the team faced opponents, it was basically five major league teams, including powerful teams such as Real Sociedad and Brest. The team's offense is good. They have scored 17 goals in the last 10 league games, averaging 1.7 goals per game, but failed to score in just one game. The offensive stability is good. Among them, they can also score 2 goals in a single game against teams like Lyon and Nice in the last two rounds of the league last season, showing a certain offensive ability. However, it should be noted that the team has 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in the last 10 games, and its state is sluggish.
Marseille's recent situation: Marseille has won 4 wins and 1 draw in 6 games, and is in excellent condition. The team has performed well in their last 10 main games at home, winning 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. The team has scored consecutive goals in the last five main games, and has averaged 3.4 goals per game. The team has gained and conceded goals in the last 10 games in the first 7 games. The team won the Premier League's Aston Villa 3-1 in the friendly match. In the offseason, they won 4 wins and 3 draws, maintaining continuous scores. In the last four friendly matches, they all came from La Liga and Premier League teams. The team has maintained an advantage in the league in recent years. The two teams have played against each other in the league in the past 6 times. Marseille has won 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Among them, they were able to win Rennes last season, with 3 goals averaging 2 games, showing that Marseille has quite some experience in facing Rennes. However, it should be noted that the probability of the team losing points away against Rennes in the past five years has reached 66%. In the last 10 away games this season, the team's probability of losing points in the final away game is 100%.
Summary: I am optimistic about flatness and let flatness, 1 to 2 2 to 2 1 to 1!
Liverpool vs. Bournemouth
Liverpool's recent situation: Liverpool showed an excellent offensive and defensive balance last season. He scored 86 goals in 38 rounds of offensive end, with an offensive ability of 2.26 goals per game, and is also remarkable on the defensive end. He conceded only 41 goals throughout the season, and his defensive efficiency of 1.08 goals per game ranked second in the league, second only to Arsenal. The team has performed well in their last 10 home games, winning 7 wins, drawing 1 and losing. The probability of the team winning at home against Bournemouth in the past five years has reached 100%. The team introduced new player Hungary in the summer window, Kolkz from Bournemouth, the opponent of the Premier League opening match. In his first Premier League game after joining, Kolkz has sufficient scoring intentions.
However, it should be noted that the team lost 2-3 in the penalty kick after hitting Crystal Palace 2-2 in the Community Shield. During the offseason, several main players left the team. Arnold transferred to Real Madrid, mainly replacing Kanssa to join Leverkusen, Kellech transferred to Brentford, Louis Dias transferred to Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga, and Darwin Nunes joined Saudi Riyadh Crescent, the team's overall strength weakened a lot.
Bornemouth's recent situation: Bournemouth has gained and conceded goals in the last 10 games. The team's main player Semenho has contributed 4 goals in the last 10 games, accounting for 40% of the team's total goals. The team introduced a number of players in the summer window, including Chelsea's Petrovic, Rennes' Truffert, and Lille's Diagit. In addition, many players returned to the team after loan. The lineup thickness, especially the defense line, has been added to a certain extent.
However, it should be noted that the probability of the team losing points away against Liverpool in the past five years has reached 100%. The team has won or lost 2 goals in the last 10 home games to 7 games. In the last 10 away games this season, the team's probability of losing points in the final away game is 100%. The team's away performance at the end of last season has weakened. In the past 6 leagues, the probability of winning is 16.7%. There are quite a lot of loopholes on the defensive end, conceding 10 goals in 6 games, conceding 1.67 goals per game, and only 1 game of clean sheets, and only 1 game of clean sheets. In 4 games, at least 2 goals were conceded in a single game, and stability needs to be strengthened.
Summary: Optimistic 3 to 0 2 to 0!
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