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Analysis of the situation of qualifying for the Club World Cup: Inter Milan wins and advances with a great advantage, and may face Dortmund

12:13pm, 30 June 2025【Football】

The group stage of this round of Club World Cup continues to be fiercely launched. Bayern Munich lost to Benfica and missed the first place in the group, resulting in the quarterfinals avoiding Chelsea but facing Flamenco from South America. So far, 10 teams have successfully advanced, including 6 European teams and 3 South American teams. In addition, host Miami International has participated in the competition. Next, the final round of decisive battles between Group E and Group F will begin, with four teams advancing.

In Group E, Riverbed and Inter Milan temporarily gain 4 points, while Monterrey and Urawa Red Diamonds earn 2 points and 0 points respectively. Although the Asian team Urawa Red Diamonds have been eliminated early, no team has been qualified for advancement. In the final round, Riverbed will see the matchup against Inter Milan and Monterrey against Urawa Red Diamonds.

It is worth noting that although River Plate currently ranks first in the group, the actual qualifying situation is exactly the opposite. Inter Milan only needs a draw to ensure that they advance to the knockout stage, which is more beneficial than competing for the first place in the group. This situation stems from the Club World Cup regulations. When the points in the group stage are the same, the results of the two sides' confrontation are first compared. Since the match between River Plate and Inter Milan has not yet begun, River Plate is temporarily ranked first by relying on the overall goal difference advantage.

If River Plate finally tied with Inter Milan and Monterrey won, all three teams will have 5 points, and the match results between the three teams will need to be compared. Previously, Monterrey had a draw with Inter Milan 1-1 and a draw with Riverbed 0-0. Therefore, if the three teams have the same points, the matches between the three teams will be tied and the goal difference is equal. The only comparison is the number of goals. Inter Milan will score one more goal than River Plate, so they will definitely advance. For Riverbed, it is necessary to draw at least 2-2 to ensure promotion. If it is 0-0 and Inter Milan, it will definitely be eliminated; if it is 1-1, it needs to be compared with Monterrey based on the total goal difference of the group.

In short, Inter Milan only needs to remain unbeaten to advance, River Plate can also advance, and Monterrey will be eliminated if he fails to win. In other situations, the results of the last round of the game need to be considered in order to determine the two teams to advance.

As for Group F, Fruminense and Dortmund tied for 4 points, while Mamerodi scored 3 points at sunset, while Ulsan HD was tragically only 0 points and was eliminated early. In the final round, Dortmund will face Ulsan HD, while Fruminense will face Mamelodi Sunset.

Although the group's standings seem to be similar to Group E, the promotion situation is very clear. If Mamerodi draws Fruminense at sunset, he will lose to Dortmund before and will be eliminated; if they want to advance, they can only defeat the South American giants.

Frumenense and Dortmund are in similar situations. As long as you get a draw in the last round, you can successfully advance to the top 16. If both teams lose, since the two sides have previously drew, the advancement needs to be decided by comparing the total goal difference and other data. Dortmund has a good situation. Facing a weaker opponent, there is still a chance to advance even if it loses. Whether new player Bellingham can score another goal is worth paying attention to.

To sum up, it is not difficult for Monterrey in Group E to win the final round, but the promotion situation of the group mainly depends on the results of Inter Milan and River Plate, and there are many variables. Fluminense and Dortmund in Group F have a greater chance of advancing together. According to the matchup chart, the promoted teams of these two groups will cross-confront each other to compete for the quarterfinals. Whether Inter Milan and Dortmund will meet in it remains to be seen.

In addition, the temperature in the United States is currently extremely high, with some regions setting a record high in years, and European teams will face more challenges. At the same time, after the past few games, some fans believe that the referee's penalty is not partial to European teams. At this Club World Cup, Porto and Atletico Madrid have been eliminated in the group stage, showing that European teams are not completely "ruling".

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