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August 12: Today s event analysis and prediction, selected 5 game predictions are welcome to refer to.
10:42pm, 12 August 2025【Football】
Analysis of non-card events:
Recent status and tactical system: Benfica showed a strong competitive state in the summer of 2025, with 7 wins and 3 draws unbeaten in the last 10 games, with a home winning rate of up to 100% (7 wins and 3 draws), with averaging 3.2 goals per game, and his offensive firepower is the top in Europe. The team continued the tactical style of "ball control + wing breakthrough". The midfielder controlled the rhythm through the dispatch of Florentino Luis and Alsness. The wing relied on the breakthrough of new players Ivanovic (winning the ball in the first round) and Joao Mario to create murderous intent. The set-piece score rate is as high as 25%, accurately hitting the opponent's defense weaknesses. On the defensive end, Ukrainian goalkeeper Trubin saved 82%, and Benfica suppressed Nice in both the midfield steal success rate (65%) and the positive shot outside the penalty area (42%), forming a system of offense and defense integrated.
Lineup Depth and Injury Impact: Although he lost cores such as Akturkogru in the summer window, Benfica quickly filled the vacancy through targeted signings: Croatian striker Ivanovic (from San Giros United) scored in his first show, Brazilian defender Dedic performed steadily on the defensive end, and midfield new player Rios also showed adaptability. Currently, only Bayi (sprayed knee) and Brumma (suspended) are absent, and the main frame is complete, especially under the home advantage of the Light Stadium, the lineup depth is enough to support tactical execution.
Nice Event Analysis:
Away Weakness and Strong Offensive: Although Nice has won 7 wins in the last 10 games, its away performance fluctuates greatly (4 wins and 2 losses), and its offensive efficiency is ineffective in key battles. When facing Benfica in the first leg, the 12 shots in the game were only two direct shots, and the forward conversion rate was only 18%. The departure of core forwards Gaisan (transfer to Aston Villa) and Labode resulted in a sharp decline in the strength of the forward line, and new aid Jansen has not yet integrated into the system. In addition, Nice has structural problems in away defense, with no wins in the last five Champions League qualifiers (3 draws and 2 losses), and 40% of away games were sealed, making it difficult to withstand Benfica's high-pressure offense.
Injury wave and potential dangers on defense: Nice suffered a devastating injury: Captain, central defender Dante, midfielder core Sanson, main midfielder Enda Isimia (cruciate ligament strain) and many others were absent for a long time, and the defense line was forced to use the mixed player of substitutes, and their actual defensive ability was greatly reduced. After losing 0-2 in the first leg, coach Hayes admitted that "the gap in strength is obvious", and the team lacks the ability to dispatch key players, making it difficult to effectively organize defensive counterattacks.
Comprehensive event analysis:
Benfica's offensive suppression: With the wing breakthrough, set pieces and midfield control, Benfica has proven to be able to create murderous intent in the first round against Nice's defense weaknesses (such as right-back Abdul Monem). The continued threat of new aid Ivanovic and Florentino's long-range shooting ability (the world wave in the first round) will become the key to breaking the situation.
Nice's risk of defensive collapse: The lack of the main force in the defense line leads to a loose defensive system, and Benfica's positive shot rate outside the penalty area (42%) and cross success rate (38%) are both dominant, and it is possible to completely break through the Nice defense line through multiple points. Benfica has an overall advantage in strength, condition, injuries and psychology, especially when Nice's defense is on the verge of collapse, there is almost no suspense in advancing at home. Although Nice has a theoretical possibility of a comeback, it lacks key players and tactical fulcrums, making it difficult to stop Benfica's offensive frenzy away. This game can be regarded as the touchstone of Benfica's new season's Champions League journey, while Nice has to face the pain of lineup reconstruction.
Tuesday 007 Europa Shelburn vs Rijeka wins and draws recommendation: Loss/draws recommendation: 0-1 1-2 1-1 Goals: 2/3 Goals
Tuesday 008 British League Cup Rex vs Hull City wins and draws recommendation: 1-0 2-1 1-1 Goals: 2/3 Goals
Tuesday 009 British League Cup West Brom vs Derby County wins and draws recommendation: 0-1 1-1 2-1 Goals: 2/3 Goals
Tuesday 010 British League Cup Watford vs Norwich wins and draws recommendation: 1-0 1-1 2-1 Number of goals: 2/3 goals
Tuesday 011 Champions League Benfica vs Nice wins and draws recommendation: Win Recommended score: 1-0 2-0 2-1 Number of goals: 2/3 goals
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