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Champions League new champions face the Galaxy battleship, Real Madrid challenge the plateau home court in Kazakhstan

11:06pm, 30 September 2025【Football】

In the second round of the Champions League group stage, Kazakhstan champion Almaty Keilat will face Spanish giants Real Madrid at home. This is not only the first official clash in history between the two teams, but also a dialogue with huge differences in strength. The home team is eager to make history with the benefits of home court, while the away team urgently needs a victory to revive morale after the last round of the league defeat.

⚽ The team's status and league situation

Almaty Keilat, as the champion of the Kazakhstan Super League, participated in the Champions League for the first time. The team performed tenaciously in the qualifying stage and eliminated the Celtics with a penalty shootout before successfully entering the main game. However, they lost 1-4 to Portugal Sports in the first round of the Champions League away, and suffered a blow.

Almaty Keilat has performed stably in the domestic league and is currently ranked second in the standings. In preparation for the match against Real Madrid, they chose to stay in the league and defeated Gernis 3-1 in the league on September 22, and then received plenty of rest.

Real Madrid, the new coach Xavi Alonso led the team to a perfect start with seven consecutive victories in the early stages of coaching, including defeating Marseille 2-1 at home in the first round of the Champions League. However, the team suffered a heavy blow in the Madrid derby last weekend, losing to Atletico Madrid 2-5. This loss not only ended the winning streak, but also allowed Real Madrid to be surpassed by Barcelona in the standings and fell to second in La Liga, which affected the team's morale to a certain extent.

🧠 Tactical style and key counterattack

Almaty Keilat's offensive and defensive system depends to a large extent on core foreign players. Brazilian striker Joe contributed 2 goals in the qualifying round and was a key figure on the front line; Croatian midfielder Mamichi provided a midfield barrier, and averaged 2.1 interceptions per game. The team was able to maintain a clean sheet in all four home games in the Champions League qualifiers, showing the resilience of home defense.

Real Madrid has an absolute advantage in overall strength, with top-notch players such as Bellingham (10 goals in 9 games) and Vinicius (5 goals and 3 assists). Real Madrid is expected to adopt a proactive offensive strategy, using Vinicius's wing break (3.2 passes per game) to impact the opponent's defense, and use Bellingham's back-shot shooting ability (4 scoring outside the penalty area) to capture the opportunity.

🚑 Injury situation and lineup impact

Almaty Keilat faces a certain shortage of forward personnel, and the two main forwards Santana and Joao Paul will not be able to play. At the same time, key players Zarutsky and Anabekov are also absent in the goalkeeper position.

Real Madrid's injury problems are even more serious, especially on the back line. Right back Kavajal will be absent due to a soleus muscle injury on his right leg, and central defender Militon also missed the game due to an ankle injury. In addition, Mendy, Arnold and Rudiger were also injured and could not go with the team, which made coach Xavi Alonso stretched his strength in the deployment of troops.

🌍 Away challenge and environmental factors

For Real Madrid, this away expedition is full of challenges. The team experienced an 8-hour charter flight and a three-hour jet lag, and the journey was inevitable.

In addition, Astana Arena, home court in Almaty, has unique environmental factors: an altitude of about 700 meters and a low temperature of about 12℃. High altitude may lead to problems in the physical distribution of Real Madrid players under high-intensity pressing. How to quickly adapt to the environment will be a major test faced by the team.

📊 Historical data and match prospects

From the historical data, Real Madrid has excellent record in the match against their first rivals in the European game, and they have won 24 of them in the past 30 such first matches. However, Real Madrid's away performance in the Champions League last season was not stable, with 3 wins and 4 losses in 7 away games.

For Almaty Keilat, whether it can use the home momentum and unique environment to make up for the strength gap. Data shows that they have performed very well at home this season, with 13 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 13 games, and have maintained a winning streak in the last three home games.

And for Real Madrid, overcoming away unfavorable factors and scoring early will be the key to controlling the game. After the team lost to Atletico Madrid, the atmosphere in the locker room was firm and regarded this as an opportunity to show its strength and resilience.