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Despair! Real Madrid s probability of winning the championship is only 0.4%, Barcelona won t win a game, they may all bid farewell to the championship
12:34pm, 14 May 2025【Football】
On May 12, a loss caused Real Madrid to lose their morale and completely collapse. The most desperate fact appeared, with only 0.4% remaining chance of winning the championship. It takes a miracle to make a comeback against Barcelona again.
With three rounds left in La Liga, with Barcelona 4:3 in blood beating Real Madrid, La Liga this season is gradually approaching the finale, because Barcelona is currently only one step away from winning the championship. What is facing Real Madrid is the greatest despair. They need to create a 0.4% miracle if they want to turn the tables.
After the game, the authoritative data website opta conducted a precise calculation and found that after their simulation, Barcelona's probability of winning this season was 99.4%, and a 4:3 victory increased their probability of winning the championship by a full 15 percentage points. Because the probability of Barcelona winning the championship was 84%, but now it has risen to 99%, while the probability of Real Madrid winning the championship makes them even more desperate, 0.4%.
This is basically only a theoretical hope. Although there is no death sentence, it is almost the same. Once this probability comes out, it can be said that it basically declares that the dust of La Liga this season is settled. If nothing unexpected happens, Barcelona will soon win another championship. After all, there are only three rounds left in La Liga, with Barcelona leading Real Madrid by 7 points and 24 goals ahead of Real Madrid.
This means that in the next three games, Barcelona only needs to win one victory. Real Madrid needs to win three consecutive games while expecting Barcelona to not win in one game, draw one game and lose two games or lose three consecutive games. This situation is almost impossible. In the last three rounds, Barcelona scored 82 points and Real Madrid scored 75 points, and they were 7 points away. How did they chase 7 points in the three rounds? Will Barcelona really lose three games in a row? Not to mention losing three games, Barcelona has no chance even if they draw two games, and even if they don’t win two draws and one loss, you can’t win the championship of Real Madrid.
This is the most desperate thing that makes Real Madrid now, that is, even if the opponent doesn't win the game, he can't win the championship. Not to mention that Barcelona's current state is impossible to lose three consecutive games, so if nothing unexpected happens, there is no suspense in La Liga this season. Moreover, if the referee is not so partial and helping Real Madrid like this, Real Madrid can't even score three goals, 14 and 11, but still can't play, then what else can't say?
And this is not a game but a four-kill game. Barcelona won three championships in Real Madrid's face. Except for this 4:3, the previous game was 4:0, 5:2, and 3:2. He defeated Real Madrid in the King's Cup and two league games. Real Madrid only scored 7 goals in total and conceded 16 goals. They should be convinced, but they can't play Barcelona anyway.
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