Saturday 003 Seoul FC vs Suwon FC! This game is optimistic and the right way to play!

1. Fighting intention and points situation

Seoul FC's mid-level breakout pressure

Seoul FC is currently ranked 7th with 18 points, only 1 point away from the AFC play-off zone. It has a mediocre performance in the last 6 games at home, but its historical clash advantage is significant (7 wins and 1 draw against Suwon FC at home). The last round of the league defeated Daegu FC 1-0 and ended the 7-round defeat. After the midfield core returned, he improved his ability to connect, and the forward Dugangjiqi (winning ball in the last round) recovered.

Key hidden dangers: low offensive efficiency (at least 11 goals in the league), relying on set pieces to score (35%), and the main central defender Jin Zhusheng is slow to turn and is easily targeted by counterattack.

Suwon FC's relegation life and death battle

Suwon FC ranked 10th with 14 points, lost all 8 away games and lost 1.43 goals per game, with obvious defensive loopholes. However, the leader Datian citizen was overwhelmed 3-0 in the last round, and foreign aid Oliveira (2 goals and 1 assist) was in full swing, and his speed and counterattack efficiency were the key to breaking the situation. The team needs to grab points away from home to relieve the pressure of relegation, but historical away game attributes (only 1 win in the last 10 away games) may become a psychological burden.

2. Tactical game and key counterattacks

Seoul's ball control and suppression and set ball threats

tactical system: mainly 4-3-3 formation, relying on crosses from the wing (22 times per game) and one-on-one cooperation between the front of the penalty area, set ball scoring rate is second in the league (35%), and high center forward Cao Yongxu heads the top scorer 68%.

Defensive adjustment: The high-level pressing strategy has been adopted recently, but the central defender has insufficient tacit understanding of assisting defense, and it is easy to be broken through the gap in the ribs by the opponent's counterattack.

Suwon's five-guard defensive counterattack

defense line construction: the 5-4-1 formation compresses the middle lane space, the central defender Choi Kyubo and Li Jidi have outstanding blocking ability, and goalkeeper Masaki Murakami saves success rate is 75%.

Counterattack core: Oliveira (speed winger), combined with a cross from the wing, attacking Seoul's air defense shortcomings.

3. Comparison of historical confrontations and data

Confrontation record: Seoul has won 8 wins and 3 draws in the last 11 matches, and has remained unbeaten in the last 8 home matches, including a 0-0 draw in the first leg of this season.

Technical indicators:

Indicators Seoul (home) Suwon (away)

possession rate 58% 42%

positive rate 43% 37%

corner kick score rate 28% 22%

high-altitude top-square success rate 63% 58%

4. Winning hand and prediction

Seoul winning conditions

Use the cross from the wing to suppress Suwon's air defense shortcomings, Cao Yongxu's ability to grab points (68% heading top-square success rate) is the key to breaking the situation.

limits Oliveira's counterattack speed, and midfielder Kim Jin-gyu needs to cut off his connection with the forward.

Suwon's upset opportunity

By quickly counterattack, attacking Seoul's gap after pressing, targeting the right back Choi Jun's weak point of turning slowly.

Settings tactics target Seoul's air defense loopholes (29% of the scores were headed in the last 3 games).

Score prediction

Mainstream view: Seoul wins a small victory (2-1 or 1-0), home advantage and historical clash support.

Unpopularity: If Suwon holds on to the defense until the critical point of physical fitness in the second half, it may tie the game 0-0 or draw 1-1.

5. Other key factors

Physical energy reserve: Seoul has remained unbeaten in 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 games, while Suwon has been playing double games for a week, and the main midfielder Yoon Bigalan has doubts about the physical fitness.

Referee Scale: Referee Kim Hee-kun has strict law enforcement, and the intensity of the confrontation may affect the rhythm of the game. Especially for Suwon's defensive actions, the penalty may be stricter.

Weather impact: The temperature in Seoul was 24℃ on the game day and the humidity was moderate, which was conducive to the performance of technical teams.

Recommended main victory

Age reference 10 21

Pictures are from the Internet