35th round of La Liga: Data decryption of the century war! Barcelona vs Real Madrid in-depth analysis

This Sunday, football will focus on Spain, and a battle between Mars and Earth will be staged at the Camp Nou Football Stadium! Barcelona, ​​which has the best offensive firepower in Europe, will sit at home and face Real Madrid, which has always been known for its perseverance and efficiency. Is it possible for Barcelona to suppress their opponents with their home advantage and strong offensive, or can Real Madrid show its championship background away and take away victory with a stable defense and fatal counterattack? Let us bring you exclusive previews and score predictions by digging deep into the key data of the two teams’ last 6 games!

1. Review of recent game data:

Barcelona's last 6 games:

Barcelona's overall performance has been fully fired on the offensive end, but there are also certain hidden worries on the defensive end.

away vs Inter Milan: 3-3 draw

home vs Inter Milan: 3-3 draw

away vs Valladolid: 2-1 win

midfield vs Real Madrid: 2-2 draw

home vs Celta: 4-3 win

home vs Mallorca: 1-0 win

record summary: 3 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses. He remained unbeaten in 3 games at home (2 wins and 1 draw), with strong offensive firepower, but also conceded a lot of goals; he showed his tenacious ability to chase points away from home.

Real Madrid's last 6 games:

Real Madrid has performed stably in the recent past, especially on the defensive end, with a high winning rate.

Home vs Celta: 3-2 wins

Away vs Barcelona: 2-2 draws

Away vs Getafe: 1-0 wins

Home vs Athletic Bilbao: 1-0 wins

Home vs Arsenal: 1-2 losses

Away vs Alaves: 1-0 wins

Summary of record: 4 wins 1 draw 1 loss

Three away games (2 wins and 1 draw) remained unbeaten and conceded very few goals; there were slight ups and downs at home, but the overall defense was stable.

2. In-depth data comparison analysis:

After understanding the recent records of both sides, we further explore the secrets hidden behind the data, especially focusing on comparing Barcelona's home data and Real Madrid's away data:

1. Offensive efficiency: Barcelona's home offensive machine vs Real Madrid's away game is stable and wins

Number of offensives and dangerous attacks: Barcelona's average number of offensives (146.8 times) and dangerous attacks (79.8 times) far exceeds Real Madrid's away game (78.0 attacks per game, 25.0 dangerous attacks). This shows that Barcelona has absolute offensive dominance and threat-creating capabilities at home.

Shots and shots: Barcelona averaged 24.8 shots and shots (9.3 shots) at home, and also crushed Real Madrid away games (13.3 shots and 6.0 shots). Barcelona can create a huge number of shooting opportunities at home.

进球数：巴萨主场场均进球高达2.5个，而皇马客场为1.33个。

Barcelona's home shot conversion rate: 2.5 goals/9.3 shots≈26.9%

Real Madrid's away shot conversion rate: 1.33 goals/6.0 shots≈22.2%

Barcelona's home shot conversion rate: 2.5 goals/24.8 shots≈10.1%

Real Madrid's away shot conversion rate: 1.33 goals/13.3 shots≈10.0%

Conclusion: Barcelona is a veritable offensive machine at home, and has an absolute advantage in both the number of offensives, quality and the final number of goals. Real Madrid pays more attention to efficiency when attacking away. Although there are not many opportunities, the conversion rate is acceptable.

2. Defensive hardness: Barcelona has hidden worries at home, Real Madrid conceded away games: This is the most contrasting part of the data comparison between the two teams. Barcelona averaged as many as 2.0 goals per game at home, and there were obvious loopholes in defense. Real Madrid averaged only 0.67 goals averaging away games, and their defense line was extremely stable.

The shots and shots are on the right:

Barcelona is averaging 9.3 shots by his opponent at home and 4.5 shots are on the right.

Real Madrid averaged 18.3 shots by their opponents and 7.3 shots on the go.

Interestingly, although Real Madrid allowed their opponents to get more shots and shots away, they actually conceded far fewer goals than Barcelona's home court. This highlights Real Madrid's "pressure resistance" and "goalkeeper performance (save)" in away defense (Real Madrid averaged 4.7 per game against Barcelona 2.7).

Steals: Real Madrid's overall average steals per game (16.2 times) is slightly higher than Barcelona (15.7 times), showing their defensive enthusiasm.

Conclusion: Real Madrid has the top away defense hardness, and can effectively limit goals conceded even when facing more offensives. Although Barcelona has strong control at home, limiting the opponent's offensive "quantity" of attacks, in the face of a small number of high-quality opportunities, the defensive efficiency is not high and the conceding of more goals is a huge hidden danger.

3. Discipline and turnover: Barcelona's home discipline is acceptable, Real Madrid has slightly more away fouls

fouls and yellow cards:

Barcelona's last three home games (including Real Madrid) are fouls per game (10+10+10)/3=10 times, and yellow cards per game (1+2+0)/3=1.

Real Madrid has averaged fouls per game (11+7+12)/3=10 times, and averaged yellow cards per game (3+1+4)/3=2.67.

It is worth noting that in the direct confrontation between the two sides (Real Madrid 2-2 at home), Barcelona fouled 23 times and 4 yellow cards, and Real Madrid fouled 11 times and 3 yellow cards, 1 red card.

Loss and pass failures:

Barcelona's overall loss (9.5 times) is higher than Real Madrid (5.3 times). Barcelona missed home shots: (5+10+14)/3=9.67 times.

Real Madrid missed away shots: (3+4+2)/3=3.0 times.

Barcelona failed at home pass: (62+78+75)/3=71.67 times.

Real Madrid failed away pass: (88+80+61)/3=76.33 times.

Conclusion: Looking at home and away data alone, Barcelona and Real Madrid have the same fouls, but Real Madrid has slightly more yellow cards. Real Madrid made slightly more passes away than Barcelona’s home court, but their shots were more accurate (less missed shots). Real Madrid's red card in direct dialogue is a potential disciplinary risk.

4. Home and away effect: Barcelona is strong at home and weak at home, and Real Madrid is stable and efficient away.

data clearly demonstrates the characteristics of "Barcelona opens and closes at home, and Real Madrid is indestructible away." Barcelona can play mercury at home, but the defensive end also gives a chance to the mobile phone.

Real Madrid demonstrated strong tactical discipline and defensive ability away games. Although there are not many offensive opportunities, they can always find a way to score goals and rarely concede goals. Home and away factors will have an important impact on both sides' tactics in this game.

3. Comprehensive analysis and final prediction:

Comparison of various data, this game will be a typical "spear and shield", but the "spear" and "shield" of both sides have their own characteristics.

Barcelona's offensive data at home are almost crushing, they can create a lot of opportunities, have extremely high ball possession rate and offensive threats. However, conceding 2 goals per game at home shows that their defense is not stable when facing powerful opponents. Real Madrid's away defense is exemplary, averaging only 0.67 goals, which is a top performance for any away team. Although their offense is not as gorgeous as Barcelona, ​​they are simple and efficient, and have a strong ability to seize opportunities.

The key point is: Can Barcelona convert a huge home offensive advantage into a sufficient goal difference?

Can Real Madrid's unmissible away defense line withstand Barcelona's successive impact?

Can Barcelona's defense withstand Real Madrid's sharp counterattack?

The two sides have shown their goal ability and intensity in a direct confrontation (Barcelona midfield 2-2 Real Madrid).

Game Winning and Loss Forecast: Comparison of comprehensive data, Barcelona has strong firepower at home, but Real Madrid has excellent away defense and efficient counterattack. Considering that Barcelona conceded a lot of goals at home and Real Madrid's ability to score away games is acceptable, both sides have opportunities in this game. The possibility of a draw is not small. If the winner is decided, Barcelona will have a slight advantage with their home offensive advantage.

Score prediction:

Considering that Barcelona has averaged 2.2 goals per game in the last 10 games, Real Madrid has averaged 1.7 goals per game in the last 10 games; at the same time, Real Madrid has averaged 1.6 goals per game in the last 10 games, and Barcelona has averaged 1.6 goals per game in the last 10 games.

The recent direct confrontation between the two sides is 2-2. Barcelona conceded quite a few goals when facing strong teams at home. Therefore, the most likely direction of the score is that both sides can score goals and the number of goals will not be too small.

The prediction score is: 2-2 or Barcelona 3-2 Real Madrid.

If Barcelona performs extremely well in offense and can slightly improve their defense, 3-1 is also possible. If Real Madrid's defensive counterattack is at its best, it is not impossible to win 1-1 or Real Madrid 2-1 away, but this requires Real Madrid's defensive performance to surpass its away average and withstand Barcelona's bombardment. Based on recent data, a draw with a high goal may have a higher probability of Barcelona winning.

4. Conclusion:

data is an important dimension for analyzing the game, which reveals the team's recent trends and potential characteristics. The national derby between Barcelona and Real Madrid clearly shows the collision between Barcelona's strong home offensive and Real Madrid's stable away defense, and also exposes the hidden dangers of Barcelona's home defense. Is it that Barcelona, ​​guided by data, can suppress their opponents with their home firepower, or can Real Madrid use steel defense and efficient counterattack to escape from the Camp Nou and even create surprises? Let us wait and see the arrival of this century war!

(The above analysis is based only on recent game data and does not constitute betting suggestions. Please watch the game rationally.)