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Media person Li Laoba: Is Mbappe still half the chance of winning the Golden Globe this year?

2:29am, 17 May 2025【Football】

Half the probability of this year's Golden Globe Awards is Killian Mbappe.

I think this year's Golden Globe Awards can be concluded. Although we have not played in the Champions League final yet, we know that if Paris Saint-Germain won this year's Champions League championship, the Golden Globe Awards will probably be Dembele's. So if Paris Saint-Germain cannot win the Champions League, who will be the Golden Ball? First of all, let’s be clear that Paris has a 50% chance of winning the Champions League championship, and when Paris wins the Champions League championship, Dembele does not win the Golden Ball Award 100%.

Then if Paris cannot win the Champions League championship, 100% of the remaining 50% of the probability is Mbappe. First of all, the favorites to win the Golden Balls are Paris Saint-Germain, Liverpool’s Salah, Real Madrid’s Mbappe, Barcelona’s Yamal and Rafinia. First of all, Rafinia and Yamal are absolutely impossible to win the Golden Balls. Why? There are two prides in a team. A two-person hero.

The pro-Barcelona media and Barcelona fans who will definitely be voted on in the Golden Ball Awards selection, and the judges who like Barcelona's playing style will hesitate between Rafinia and Yamal.

Should I vote first for Rafinia or lower for Yamal? There is also Lewandowski, which is the same as the Liverpool Golden Globe Awards back then. The Liverpool Golden Globe Awards, Van Dijk, Salge and Mane are all qualified to win the Golden Globe Awards, so these three people formed a vote and were eventually stolen by the peerless thief Messi. The Golden Globe Awards that year, so it seems that three people in Barcelona can win the Golden Globe Awards today, but without the Champions League, there is no probability that one of the 13 people will score a goal because they will leave, with the only number of votes.

So Barcelona's Yamal, Rafinia, and Lewandowski directly fired these three people, and there would be no chance to participate. Who is left? Salah from Liverpool, Mbappe from Real Madrid and Dembele from Paris. First of all, Salah was eliminated. Liverpool was eliminated too early in the Champions League stage. Although he held the Premier League championship and Salah held the Golden Boot, he was eliminated too early after all. In addition, Salah was an African, but the Africans did not vote for him at all.