Xiao Jinzi s commentary on football lottery on August 30

Hi, friends of football fans and basketball fans, have a happy Saturday! This is Xiao Jinzi's chatting about the football game. She is with you in the feast of the actual sports lottery game. Xiao Jinzi's chatting about the football game has many years of experience in sharing football games and exchanging data in the basketball league. Today, I will take this opportunity to focus on the following games~ Analysis of the game between the Wolves against Everton in the Premier League

Premier League

Recent status and performance of both sides

-Wolves have been in poor shape recently, and have only won 2 games and lost 6 games in the last 9 rounds of the league, with a high loss rate. The team's morale was frustrated when the FA Cup tied with Bournemouth at regular time and then lost to his opponent in a penalty shootout. In addition, the leading scorer Cunia was punished with a red card and needed to be suspended in this game, which has a great impact on the team's forward line.

- Everton: After Moyes took over the team, he improved significantly. He shook hands with Brentford 1-1 away from home in the last round of the league. He is currently ranked 16th in the 27 rounds of the league, and has led the relegation zone by as much as 15 points, and the pressure to relegate is not high. He has not lost 7 consecutive league games in recent years and has achieved 4 wins and 3 draws. Even his previous poor away game has recently been unbeaten for three consecutive rounds.

Tactical Features

-Wolves: Usually adopts a 5-back or 3-4-3 formation, pays attention to wing offense and midfield control, emphasizes the stability of body defense, creates offensive threats through quick counterattacks, and is good at using high-level pressing to limit opponents' offense. However, the offensive end is lacking creativity, relying too much on counterattacks and set pieces, and lacking effective offensive means for positional warfare.

- Everton: Generally, 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2 formations are used, with strong midfield control, focusing on ball control and passing, hoping to tear open the opponent's defense through ground cooperation. However, there are certain loopholes on the defensive end, especially the defense on the wing is easily exploited by the opponent, and the offensive rhythm is slow.

Team lineup and key players

- Wolves: The injury is relatively serious. Guedes, Kalezic, Huang Xican, Rodrigo Gomez, Agbadu and other players are all absent due to injuries. The team's three starting forwards, Larsen, Saravia and Bellegard, have rarely scored goals recently, and their offensive firepower has been damaged. However, midfielders such as Semedo and Neto have certain organizational and offensive abilities. If they perform well, they may create goals opportunities for the team.

- Everton: After Moyes coached, the team can actively sprint and oppress the opponent's defenders in the midfield, whether it is Dukure or Alcalas, and have certain ability to advance and finish, which allows Everton to get the ball more in the opponent's hinterland. Center Beto has 5 goals in the last 6 games and is in a hot state, which is an important weapon for the team's offensive end.

Historical Confrontation

- Judging from the historical confrontation records, the confrontation between the two sides has been fierce in recent years, and the victory or defeat has alternated, and no side has an absolute advantage. In the past 10 matches, Wolves have achieved 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses.

-Wolves' performance against Everton at home was relatively stable and had certain advantages. They have achieved 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches.

Match prediction

Comprehensive factors, although Wolves have the advantage of home court, they have been in poor condition recently. The main shooter is absent and the lineup is not in a complete position, so it is difficult to perform well on the offensive end; while Everton's condition has been in progress, his away game ability cannot be underestimated, and the lineup is relatively uniform, and center Beto is in good condition. Therefore, Everton has a high probability of unbeaten in this game and may draw with Wolves or defeat Wolves slightly. Everton is expected to 1-1 or 2-1 Wolves. Analysis of the match between Augsburg and Bayern Munich in Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Recent status and performance of both sides

-Augsburg: Currently ranks 8th in the Bundesliga, with 39 points, and there is still a certain gap from the European War Zone, but there is still hope of upward impact and a strong fighting spirit. He has achieved 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 games, scored 9 goals and conceded 4 goals, his condition is relatively stable, and he has been unbeaten in the last 7 rounds. The team's defensive performance is particularly outstanding, conceding only 3 goals in the last 11 rounds and 8 clean sheets. At home, Augsburg performed well, with 6 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in 13 home games, with a winning rate of nearly 50%, conceded 1.15 goals per game, and a relatively stable defense. However, his offensive performance was average, with 1.11 goals per game, and his offensive methods were relatively single.

- Bayern: As the defending champion, Bayern currently ranks first in the Bundesliga with 65 points, leading second place by 6 points. If it wins in this game, it will further consolidate its advantage in the championship. He has won 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 games, scored 21 goals and conceded 9 goals, and his overall condition was stable. He defeated St. Pauli 3-2 at home in the last round and was unbeaten in the last three rounds. The team has strong offensive firepower, with an average of 2.89 goals per game. The attack line composed of Kane, Sane, Musiara and others is outstanding. However, Bayern's defense suffered a wave of injuries, Koeman was absent, Ito Yohui and Alfonso Davis were reimbursed for the season, and Yu Pamecano was injured. Fortunately, Kim Min-jae, Gretzka and others have resumed training, and the depth of the lineup can provide a certain guarantee.

Historical confrontations

In the past 30 matches between the two teams, Bayern won 26 games, Augsburg won only 4 games and tied twice, and Bayern had an overwhelming advantage. However, Augsburg defeated Bayern 2-1 at home in the 2022/23 season, creating a classic upset.

Tactical Features

- Augsburg: The recent tactics focus on solid defense and rapid counterattack. The defense adopts a three-center-back formation, focusing on regional joint defense and wing blocking, and hoarding 8 players in the midfield to form multi-level defense. In terms of counterattack tactics, it relies on the wingback to insert assists to create threats, and rely on the forward's sprint and back-to-back ball ability. The offensive end mainly involves long passes and interspersed running, but the ball is not stable enough when facing high-pressure pressing.

- Bayern: Recently, it adopts a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on high-pressure and rapid conversion tactics. Relying on the attack group built by new players such as Kane and Louis Dias, a "three-dimensional killing" tactical system has been formed.. In terms of high-pressing tactics, two back midfielders control the midfield and cut off the opponent's passing route. The ball control rate of the game is as high as 68%, which will also allow players to break through the creation space on the wing. The middle penetration and crossing from the wing will form a dual threat of high-altitude operations and ground cooperation.

Key Player

- Augsburg: Forward Dmirovic is a key figure in the team, with strong counterattack ability and scoring ability. He will be Augsburg's main reliance on the offensive end.

- Bayern: Kane is the team's offensive core and has excellent personal abilities. His performance will directly affect Bayern's offensive firepower. In addition, players such as Sane and Musiara are also very aggressive and can create scoring opportunities for the team.

Match Factors

- Lineup Integrity: Augsburg has three main players returning, which is good news for the team's lineup integrity and combat effectiveness. Although some players of Bayern are absent due to injuries, with their deep lineup, the absence of these players has little impact on the overall situation, and the team can still line up a strong starting lineup.

- Injury situation: Bayern has relatively many injuries. The absence of key players such as Neuer, Davis, Upamecano has had a certain impact on the team's defense line, but the team's lineup is deep enough to deal with it.

- Possibility of a draw in the game: Judging from the current situation, Bayern is stronger overall and has pressure to compete for the championship. He will not easily miss the opportunity to score points in this game. However, Augsburg's home defense is stable and in excellent condition recently, it may cause some trouble for Bayern, and there is a certain possibility of upset.

Based on the above factors, Bayern far surpasses Augsburg in both paper strength and state, and he is still a clear advantage in away games, and he is likely to win a big away game in this game; however, Augsburg may be able to resist tenaciously based on the home atmosphere. If he can shrink his defense and seize the opportunity to counterattack, he may have a chance to score a goal that will save face. Bayern Munich is expected to beat Augsburg 3-1 or 4-1, and pay attention to the big 3-goal index. Analysis of the match between Portugal's Super League Portugal Sports against Porto

Portugal's Super League

Recent status and performance of both teams - Portugal Sports: They have been in excellent shape recently, and have won three consecutive victories. During this period, they scored 12 goals and conceded only 1 goal. The defense is stable and the offensive firepower is fully opened. In the Portuguese Super League, he ranked first with a record of 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, showing a strong competitive state.

- Porto: In the last 6 games, they have achieved 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, scoring 10 goals and conceded 6 goals. In the last game, he defeated Casabia 4-0, and his condition rebounded, but his overall defensive performance was not stable enough.

Historical Confrontation

From the historical confrontation, Porto has achieved 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 games against Portugal Sports. Both sides have equal strength and have no obvious psychological advantage.

Team lineup

- Portugal Sports: The team lineup is relatively neat, the forwards are in good condition on the front line, the midfield players have excellent organizational skills, and the defense on the back line is also relatively stable.

- Porto: Although several key players are absent due to injuries, the team still has a strong lineup depth, and newly introduced players have gradually integrated into the team, which can provide the team with sufficient firepower support.

Tactical Analysis

- Portugal Sports: It may continue its recent offensive tactics and find scoring opportunities for forward players through the organization and passing of the midfield. Defensively, it will continue to remain compact, reducing the opponent's offensive space.

- Porto: It may use its rich offensive means to impact the defense of Portugal Sports through breakthroughs in the wing and cooperation in the middle. At the same time, we will also pay attention to defensive counterattacks and use the space left by Portugal's sports offense to create threats.

Match prediction

Given that both sides have good shapes and equal strength in recent years, this game may be very intense and both sides have a chance to win. But considering that Portugal sports have been more stable in recent times and their offense is sharper, they may have a slight advantage. However, the final result still needs to be judged based on the actual situation on the day of the game. Portugal is expected to successfully defeat Porto 2-0 or 2-1.

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