HOME > Football

Xiaoba Yiyanjia|Siege hammer is in place, but the gunman still has not solved the core problem of "who sends ammunition"

10:42am, 2 August 2025【Football】

In the view of BBC author Chris Collinson, although Arsenal signed Yorke to strengthen the front line, it seems that they want to score more goals in the new season, and the key problem has not been solved.

Last season, Arsenal seemed to need a striker who could score goals, and after signing Viyocres, the Gunners felt that they were looking for the right person now.

Although the Gunners conceded fewer goals than Liverpool in the 24/25 season, Slott's team scored 17 more goals - this is likely the key gap in the Premier League championship.

Signing Yorke is obviously about solving the goal issue, but things may not be that simple. If you look closely at why Arsenal only scored 69 goals, while Liverpool scored 86 goals, the crux of the problem is not a shot in the goal, but a chance to create itself...

Liverpool's shooting conversion rate last season was 13.3%, which was higher than Arsenal's 12.6%, but this data is a bit "watery", and the key is the penalty. The Reds won and scored the most nine penalty kicks in the Premier League. Where is the Gunners? Only caught and scored the poor 2.

You should know that the Premier League penalty score rate is as high as 83% in the 24/25 season, and the goal rate is only 11% in the sports war. So every extra penalty will make the team's shooting conversion rate look "beautiful", but this does not really reflect the ending ability of the sports war.

Putting aside the penalty kick and efficiency, you will find that Arsenal is the side that will seize the opportunity more...

Arsenal's non-penalties scored more efficiently than Liverpool

Although Liverpool has a lot of 9 penalty kicks, 14 teams have won more in a single season in the past ten years. For example, Manchester United scored 14 penalty kicks in 38 games in the 19/20 season! But it is abnormal that teams like Arsenal who compete for championships only scored 2 penalties. In the past 10 years, teams with more than 70 points have averaged 5 penalty kicks, while teams with averaged 8.

In fact, the unlucky guy who had high points but few penalties last time was Arsenal himself - he only had two penalty kicks when he won the runner-up in the 15/16 season, while the champion Leicester City won 13!

In the last 10 seasons, Arsenal has received very low penalty kicks in the Premier League

The additional seven penalty kicks last season have had a huge impact on the championship. Liverpool earned 11 more points with 9 penalty kicks. Arsenal's two penalty kicks all came from the away game against West Ham in November last year, which was of no help in grabbing points.

Liverpool scored 11 more points due to penalty kicks last season. In comparison, Arsenal did not get any extra points because of penalty kicks, and the goal was also a bit less in sports games

Pension aside, the main reason for Arsenal's fewer goals is even more heartbreaking - they don't create enough opportunities!

Last season, Arsenal had 102 fewer shots than Liverpool in the entire 38 rounds, and Liverpool's sports battle shots were 95 more than the Gunners! Calculate that 2.5 more shots per game. Arteta's team scored as many goals as the champions in sports and maintained their own conversion rate (12.3%), then they could score 12 more goals. What does this mean? If you don’t have a chance, it’s useless to cum again!

The quality of the shots is not good yet

Liverpool not only had many shots last season, but also had higher quality. Only looking at the expected goal value of each shot in a sports game, only Brentford created an average quality of opportunities higher than that of the Reds.

Arsenal's shooting quality was significantly lower than Liverpool last season? The opportunities created by Liverpool have a 12% conversion possibility based on historical data; the opportunities created by Arsenal have an average conversion rate of only 11%.

1% don't sound much? But Arsenal shot a total of 544 shots last season! If the quality of opportunity is the same as the Reds, they can score 5 more goals.

So... Gunners are actually quite efficient?

The sharp-eyed fans discovered that according to the above algorithm, Arsenal "scored" 24 goals, but in fact, only 17 goals were less than the Reds. The mystery lies in the quality of the shooting - considering this factor, Arsenal's ability to finish last season is actually far better than that of the champion! Their sports game scored 7 more goals than expected, while Liverpool only had 0.5 more.

Don't look at people who always say that the Gunners are wasting opportunities, in fact, in the entire Premier League, only Nottingham Forest and Wolves are more efficient than their goal.

Where did Arteta's team lose? Liverpool has many and good opportunities, and they don’t need to be particularly efficient to win the championship.

Arsenal's problem last season was not to seize opportunities, but to create opportunities

So, look at the picture below and you can clearly understand the reason why Arsenal scored 17 goals less:

Arsenal's penalty shootouts were 7 times less than Liverpool, and 95 less non-penalties shots (12 goals less), and the quality of the shots was also worse. A good news: Yorke not only can shoot

Yorkres can improve the Gunners' finishing efficiency, but he should also help solve the Gunners' primary problem, that is, create enough opportunities.

Last season in the Portuguese Super League, he averaged 4.5 goals per game, crushing Jesus (3.0) and Havertz (2.6) in the Premier League team.

The forward shots are of course more dependent on teammates to feed the cake, but Yorke's running position and sense of smell in the penalty area can also give teammates the chance to "make cakes".

Don't forget that he created the number of opportunities in sports last season (60 times) and ranked second in the league, and he also scored the most penalty kicks (4). In the new season, he is definitely the key puzzle for Arsenal's "ammunition depot" to compete for the Premier League championship!

source:livescore 7m cn